Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 5.519804 6.291320 7.141948 8.151045 9.317649 10.626511 12.209815
2025-05-11 4.354388 5.324572 6.478889 7.959516 9.816879 12.080865 15.066538
2025-05-18 3.672926 4.726790 6.052441 7.853989 10.256273 13.374096 17.767311
2025-05-25 3.197620 4.287985 5.722701 7.766634 10.632707 14.551549 20.389287
2025-06-01 2.818615 3.913795 5.411056 7.632032 10.884495 15.537930 22.816702
2025-06-08 2.505797 3.587093 5.115831 7.465862 11.042648 16.371985 25.083204
2025-06-15 2.378339 3.505841 5.152333 7.772512 11.913440 18.334129 29.296629
2025-06-22 2.211282 3.345544 5.050370 7.848848 12.424168 19.779359 32.847142
2025-06-29 2.037720 3.156415 4.882407 7.796895 12.712340 20.881753 35.941796
2025-07-06 1.877741 2.972491 4.702894 7.702627 12.910817 21.841361 38.888231
2025-07-13 1.804467 2.920112 4.727428 7.945677 13.702064 23.895500 44.068879
2025-07-20 1.725463 2.850325 4.715013 8.120285 14.384953 25.822817 49.254084
2025-07-27 1.670127 2.817349 4.764323 8.413063 15.322916 28.344222 55.995435
2025-08-03 1.538329 2.641199 4.550368 8.207525 15.306045 29.049346 59.149071
2025-08-10 1.434602 2.505909 4.396757 8.097619 15.457576 30.093501 63.148792
2025-08-17 1.343713 2.386260 4.260969 8.007219 15.634721 31.202484 67.434565
2025-08-24 1.254626 2.262885 4.108000 7.868058 15.696079 32.073238 71.299034
2025-08-31 1.169360 2.140176 3.946430 7.696280 15.670138 32.750979 74.804155
2025-09-07 1.150764 2.142295 4.023047 8.013286 16.711911 35.871113 84.605064
2025-09-14 1.105334 2.088954 3.986904 8.092206 17.242587 37.906093 92.034758
2025-09-21 1.048726 2.009448 3.892492 8.038494 17.470616 39.267751 97.947878
2025-09-28 0.991847 1.925383 3.782516 7.941038 17.588008 40.379515 103.369572
2025-10-05 0.973488 1.918032 3.829215 8.192316 18.543456 43.629945 115.107009